Supply: BarChart.com.
Determine 1: Efficient feds (black), implied feds as of April 2, 9:30 p.m. CT (pink sq.), March 19, 4:30 a.m. CT (pink sq.), March 8 (sky blue inverted triangle), and February 15 (inexperienced triangle). Supply: Fed by way of FRED, CME Fedwatch and writer’s calculations.